Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035014 0.038093 0.041182 0.044509 0.047983 0.051499 0.055321
2026-01-18 0.030436 0.035046 0.039814 0.045090 0.050744 0.056600 0.063104
2026-01-25 0.025445 0.030993 0.036902 0.043608 0.050960 0.058729 0.067514
2026-02-01 0.022094 0.028353 0.035198 0.043142 0.052019 0.061554 0.072493
2026-02-08 0.019530 0.026334 0.033960 0.042987 0.053246 0.064419 0.077392
2026-02-15 0.018177 0.025560 0.034006 0.044168 0.055869 0.068751 0.083843
2026-02-22 0.016892 0.024742 0.033900 0.045084 0.058118 0.072606 0.089716
2026-03-01 0.015545 0.023735 0.033480 0.045555 0.059790 0.075756 0.094754
2026-03-08 0.014234 0.022672 0.032909 0.045777 0.061115 0.078464 0.099251
2026-03-15 0.013450 0.022215 0.033027 0.046779 0.063316 0.082151 0.104842
2026-03-22 0.011935 0.020701 0.031756 0.046032 0.063395 0.083341 0.107535
2026-03-29 0.011005 0.019903 0.031333 0.046278 0.064621 0.085835 0.111705
2026-04-05 0.010288 0.019375 0.031254 0.046967 0.066415 0.089045 0.116775
2026-04-12 0.009532 0.018743 0.031009 0.047428 0.067921 0.091915 0.121456
2026-04-19 0.008066 0.016981 0.029196 0.045841 0.066876 0.091726 0.122531
2026-04-26 0.007126 0.015920 0.028264 0.045333 0.067122 0.093045 0.125354
2026-05-03 0.006384 0.015101 0.027619 0.045163 0.067759 0.094813 0.128692
2026-05-10 0.006138 0.015051 0.028031 0.046371 0.070121 0.098660 0.134499
2026-05-17 0.005829 0.014874 0.028248 0.047310 0.072136 0.102086 0.139805
2026-05-24 0.005410 0.014479 0.028134 0.047793 0.073562 0.104789 0.144246
2026-05-31 0.004953 0.013980 0.027845 0.048021 0.074651 0.107072 0.148177
2026-06-07 0.004740 0.013896 0.028151 0.049050 0.076762 0.110605 0.153612
2026-06-14 0.004093 0.012964 0.027164 0.048282 0.076538 0.111253 0.155560